Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will there be a GPT-4.5 model before GPT-5 is released?

Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?