Will China beat the US in the race to creating a room temperature superconductor?
Plus
32
Ṁ14812025
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Edge cases:
If the Korean team's findings are confirmed to be SCs, we will ignore that case and resolve market on first successful replication instead
Someone else besides China or US develops it first - market resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
11% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
61% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
57% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
56% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
25% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?
34% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
53% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
28% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
39% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?
26% chance