This market resolves based on the characters in the first movie to win an Oscar which depicts real-life settings and events of modern AI development. For each real-world person under this question, resolve YES if they, as a character (not necessarily a cameo), say more than one word during the movie, are audibly mentioned, or are visually depicted for more than 20 seconds in total. If no qualifying movie about AI has won an Oscar before 2033, all answers resolve NO. If an actor in the movie is not playing themselves, resolves YES for the character they depict rather than the actor.

A significant portion of the movie (>30% of runtime) must be set in the 2020s decade.

A qualifying movie does not need to be an entirely faithful depiction of historical events as long as the backdrop, setting, and characters are largely drawn from true history. Some qualifying and disqualifying criteria to help clarify:

• The movie should be about AI, not merely a tangential setting or set of events which were concurrent to AI development

• At most 1 of the 3 characters with the most speaking time can be fictional

• It's fine if the movie is, say, about a fictional project within a real-life lab

• It's fine if the movie depicts a world which diverged from ours in significant ways after 2020

  • For example, COVID-19 must have happened in the version of history depicted by a qualifying movie, but it's fine if someone different from real history won the Presidency in 2024

• Oppenheimer would have qualified for the hypothetical version of this market about depictions of the Manhattan Project. The Social Network would similarly count in a version of the question about social media.