📈 The US Election and Bitcoin prices 📉Which of the following event pairs will co-incide?
Plus
7
Ṁ1051Nov 13
62%
Trump declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin rises 8% or more during the following week
3%
Trump declared US Predisential winner and Bitcoin falls 8% or more during the following week
19%
Trump declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin remains within +8% to -8% (both exclusive) during the following week
3%
Harris declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin rises 8% or more during the following week.
3%
Harris declared US Predisential winner and Bitcoin falls 8% or more during the following week
4%
Harris declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin remains within +8% to -8% (both exclusive) during the following week
4%
Correlation isn't causation, of course. But the US Election might precede a relative change in Bicoin prices.
Which events will occur together?
Bitcoin Price measured on coinmarketcap
Election winner as declared by any two major news networks from e.g. Fox, Newsmax, MSNBC, CNN, ABC, AP
Relative price taken by dividing the daily average price of bitcoin in USD on November 12th by the daily average price on November 5th.
If no winner is declared by November 12th midnight EST, then resolves Other as neither candidate is declared winner by close date.
Reach out with any clarifications/comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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