By the end of 2024, will at least 2 MIRI researchers publicly consider the Infra-Bayesianism agenda to have contributed substantially to solving the alignment problem?
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ668
Dec 31
15%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
predicts NO

Liquidating positions across manifold. Does not represent change in belief.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules