Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?
Basic
4
Ṁ347Jan 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Talking about a downed airliner. Doesn't have to be the 737 MAX but can't be like a private charter operation flying smaller jets.
Examples of major airlines: American, Delta, United, Southwest, JetBlue, Alaskan Fronteir, Allegiant, Spirit... Major International airlines arriving or departing from US airports/airspace count so long as part of the leg was flown in US airspace
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
26% chance
Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?
14% chance
Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
44% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2024?
6% chance
Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?
4% chance
On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
41% chance
Will there be a fatality of any kind attributed, at least in part, to aircraft controller error before 2025.
6% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance