Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
Basic
9
Ṁ2372028
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1746712218274529690
"Minority pilot" refers to anyone who could plausibly be accused of being a DEI hire.
The mistake needs to be in the context of the skill of flying a plane for their job. A car crash doesn't count, even if they were driving to their job at the airport. Running the plane into something while on the ground would count. Crashing a personal plane they were flying for fun does not count. If it's an intentional murder/suicide like flight 9525, that counts too.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will there be a fatality of any kind attributed, at least in part, to aircraft controller error before 2025.
13% chance
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
26% chance
Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?
18% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
49% chance
On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance
Will another Boeing 737 Max crash during flight before the end of 2028?
35% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence pilot an aircraft with human passengers completely autonomously before 2030?
67% chance
Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?
6% chance