Will "smuggling" rank higher than "fentanyl" on Google Trends at any point during Trump's 2nd term?
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17%
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If Trump leaves office sooner, the market closes sooner as well, however the market will not extend into a 3rd term.
Update 2025-04-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:
The market will base its resolution on the Topic category in Google Trends.
This method is chosen because it is expected to better track general interest than raw search terms.
Edit 2025-04-22: Google Trends comparison: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%201-d&geo=US&q=%2Fm%2F072yh,%2Fm%2F011w3r&hl=en
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Is it based on those terms ranked as "search terms" or as "Topics?"
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