Will "smuggling" rank higher than "fentanyl" on Google Trends at any point during Trump's 2nd term?
5
100Ṁ2482029
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump leaves office sooner, the market closes sooner as well, however the market will not extend into a 3rd term.
Update 2025-04-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:
The market will base its resolution on the Topic category in Google Trends.
This method is chosen because it is expected to better track general interest than raw search terms.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Is it based on those terms ranked as "search terms" or as "Topics?"
Related questions
Related questions
US Google Trends: Which of these keywords will surpass their 2024 peak in 2025?
If Trump becomes president, will more people be imprisoned federally for drug offenses?
56% chance
Will US Border Patrol seize more fentanyl in 2025 than in 2024?
44% chance
Will someone be executed for drug dealing during Trump's term?
23% chance
By the end of 2025, will the US praise China's efforts to combat the fentanyl crisis?
25% chance
Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
56% chance
Will Donald Trump exceed Joe Biden's Presidential clemency count during his second term?
54% chance
When will US deaths from fentanyl decline?
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
40% chance
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
15% chance