If Trump becomes president, will more people be imprisoned federally for drug offenses?
Basic
3
Ṁ282026
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of 20 April, 2024, 64,121 people are in US federal prisons for drug offenses.
Resolves based on https://www.bop.gov/about/statistics/statistics_inmate_offenses.jsp
Market closes just before the 2026 midterms.
This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@traders unless anyone has a compelling objection I’ll edit this to say “a republican ” instead of “Trump” tomorrow 7/23/2024.
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will he "free" January 6th prisoners in his first month?
60% chance
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
42% chance
If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?
36% chance
Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
10% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
44% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
66% chance
By 2030, will a lower percentage of US federal prison inmates be in jail for drug offenses?
68% chance
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
70% chance
Will Trump do time?
7% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
18% chance