AGI will more likely resemble a multipolar than a singleton scenario. | Manifold

AGI will more likely resemble a multipolar than a singleton scenario.

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"more likely" isn't the right question for a prediction market

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Related questions

A multipolar AGI scenario is safer than a singleton AGI scenario

If AGI has an okay outcome, will there be an AGI singleton?

Who will be first to AGI

What will be true about the person who creates AGI?

When will AGI arrive

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?

Will AGI be made up of narrow forms of AI working together when it is first reached?

Will a misaligned AGI take over the world?

AGI's consensus definition reaches alignment as follows: current tests + new tests in planning+reasoning capabilities

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