By the end of 2027, will AI be able to do taxes as good as an average accountant?
28
Ṁ1015
2028
70%
chance

Towards the end of 2027, I will do a poll asking if the top tax AI are as good as an average accountant in preparing tax return for a typical household.

Resolves Yes if over 50% of the respondant think that the top tax AI are as good as an average accountant in preparing tax return for a typical household

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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@AmmonLam Is the question for the US only? (In most other developed countries the gov already does your tax return for you and the vast majority of people don't have an accountant or specialized software. So the question probably already resolves as yes in these countries.)

opened a Ṁ1 YES at 50% order

Taxes should be something fairly simple to automate. It’s a standard list of questions and options, and your W2 and the other forms are already auto-importable on TurboTax and analogs

@mattyb
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/03/04/ai-taxes-turbotax-hrblock-chatbot/
while most part is simple to automate, once you let AI to take liberty in recommending what to do things could go wrong easily.