Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Basic
104
Ṁ38k2026
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve Yes if the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election
Resolve No otherwise
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
This is quite different than PredictIt’s value of 57:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
And Metaculus’ value of 52:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/
Related questions
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
44% chance
Will a Democrat win the US 2024 presidential election?
44% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 election?
44% chance
Will a Democrat win the White House in 2024?
43% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
45% chance
If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
35% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential election?
44% chance
Will the Republican party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
54% chance
Will Biden win the 2024 election?
17% chance
Will the Democratic candidate win the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
72% chance