Will Malaysia successfully pass any citizenship eligibility constitutional amendments in 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ256
Dec 31
58%
chance

The issue of citizenship eligibility, particularly for children of Malaysian mothers and non-Malaysian fathers who are born outside of Malaysia, has been a major issue in Malaysian politics over the last few years.

After much pressure from NGOs, and the government losing in litigation (before having the ruling overturned on appeal - and it may yet be overturned on further appeal), the government announced it would introduce amendments to the relevant sections of the Constitution to give Malaysian mothers equal rights to fathers. However, the government is also considering other amendments that will limit access to citizenship in other cases, e.g. foundlings, which are being opposed by those same NGOs.

See: https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2024/02/20/proposed-constitutional-amendments-on-citizenship-could-disenfranchise-some-groups-say-ngos, https://www.dailyexpress.com.my/news/230241/anwar-says-citizenship-law-amendments-to-be-tabled-this-month/, https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2023/07/12/eight-proposed-constitutional-amendments-on-citizenship-to-be-presented-to-conference-of-rulers

Resolves to yes if any bill that amends the citizenship provisions of Part III of the Constitution of Malaysia passes the Malaysian Parliament (with the necessary 2/3rds majority in each house) and receives the required assents from the Yang di-Pertuan Agong and the Conference of Rulers by 31 December 2024 (even if the commencement of the amendments takes effect at a later point). Any decisions by the judiciary that change the interpretation of the existing citizenship provisions are irrelevant.

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sold Ṁ117 YES

Selling because while the bill has passed the Dewan Rakyat and Dewan Negara, I am doubtful that it will receive Royal Assent (as the market's resolution criteria states) by 31 December.

bought Ṁ20 YES

Cabinet has agreed to drop the one of the more controversial amendment on the rights of foundlings: https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/700339

bought Ṁ20 YES

The PN opposition are considering voting in favour of the gov's bill: https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/700211

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