How many electoral college votes will the Democratic Party nominee get in 2024? (Cumulative Market)
Plus
48
Ṁ10kDec 26
10%
>=236
9%
>=269
8%
>=261
8%
>=227
6%
>=250
3%
>=306
3%
>=270
3%
>=288
3%
>=278
1%
>=350
1%
>=420
Answers must be of the form ">=N" where N is an integer, otherwise I will resolve the answer N/A.
Answers will be resolved based on the actual electoral college votes, not based on who electors are pledged to.
If the democratic party renames themselves or merges with another party, the successor party's nominee will count for this market.
If the electoral college is abolished or the election is cancelled or otherwise doesn't happen, all answers resolve N/A.
I reccomend sorting answers by High % or Low %.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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