How many electoral college votes will the Democratic Party nominee get in 2024? (Cumulative Market)

Plus

Ṁ15k

Dec 26

>=261

>=270

>=306

>=420

>=250

>=227

Answers must be of the form ">=N" where N is an integer, otherwise I will resolve the answer N/A.

Answers will be resolved based on the actual electoral college votes, not based on who electors are pledged to.

If the democratic party renames themselves or merges with another party, the successor party's nominee will count for this market.

If the electoral college is abolished or the election is cancelled or otherwise doesn't happen, all answers resolve N/A.

I reccomend sorting answers by High % or Low %.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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@Anthem everything resolves NO

"Answers will be resolved based on the actual electoral college votes, not based on who electors are pledged to."

@Anthem my very very bad

bought Ṁ15 NO

@ScottSupak I am happy to set up a NO limit order for >=269 at 60% if you want it

bought Ṁ4 NO

@BoltonBailey (Actually I see Evan has already made a better deal)

@BoltonBailey Just wanted to slap the market around a little to get some attention. Thanks.

How is >= 270 at 45%. (At the time of this comment) but:

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