Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2024 or 2028? | Manifold

Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2024 or 2028?

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26

Ṁ4796

Nov 11

71%

Gretchen Whitmer

65%

Pete Buttigieg

54%

[Any Democrat Except Biden or Harris]

40%

Gavin Newsom

31%

Kamala Harris

6%

Joe Biden

An option resolves Yes if that person becomes the 2024 or 2028 Democratic Party nominee and wins the presidential election.

An option resolves No if that person becomes the 2024 or 2028 Democratic Party nominee and loses the presidential election.

An option resolves N/A if that person is not the 2024 or 2028 Democratic Party nominee.

For a version of this question about just the 2024 election, see here:

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#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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@Joshua What if they are the nominee both years, win once, and lose once?

It would be good to add Josh Shapiro and Tim Walz to this market because by being Harris' VP pick their chance of being the 2028 nominee would be greatly increased.

What if they are the nominee both years, win once, and lose once?

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