Even if every Ferrari, RBR, McLaren, Mercedes and Alonso all DNFed, I'd only give DR a 20-25% chance of winning the race.

 If all those have DNFed, I give 95% chance that DR has also had the same fate.

Resolves YES if either Oscar Piastri or Daniel Ricciardo win a race during the 2024 season, not including sprints.

This includes victories from promotions due to penalties. For example if Max Verstappen won a race, but was disqualified or otherwise penalised down the finishing order, so that either Oscar Piastri or Daniel Ricciardo is promoted to 1st, the market would resolve YES.

Related questions

Related questions