The New York Times' lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft for alleged copyright infringement in training its AI models has raised critical questions about intellectual property in the age of artificial intelligence.
As of December 27, 2023 OpenAI has not yet responded publicly to the lawsuit. Both parties are likely engaging in legal strategy and potentially settlement negotiations. Similar lawsuits by authors against OpenAI are also pending, potentially influencing the legal landscape surrounding AI training and copyright.
This case could have significant implications for the future of AI development and the copyright rights of content creators.
This market focuses solely on the outcome of the initial lawsuit, excluding subsequent appeals. Resolves “The New York Times will win the lawsuit” if the outcome of the initial lawsuit is in favor of the NYT on any count.
1,000
3.00"OpenAI has asked a federal judge to dismiss parts of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against it, arguing that the newspaper "hacked" ChatGPT"
This doesn't look good for OpenAI to me.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/feb/27/new-york-times-hacked-chatgpt-openai-lawsuit
This article seems relevant to the market
https://www.understandingai.org/p/the-ai-community-needs-to-take-copyright
@DavidBolin If you have concerns about potential bias in the market, you are welcome to choose not to participate. I’ve specifically formatted the description to eliminate subjective judgment in determining wins and losses.
@AviSchwartz Indeed. As you can see I have not placed any bet here and do not intend to. I did not say it was subjective; I said it was a biased description. That does not mean it will not be clear whether the description applies or not.
I do not like betting on an inaccurate description of an outcome even when it is perfectly clear what the market author intended.
@DavidBolin I'm actually confused, presumably OpenAI believes they're doing nothing illegal. If the NYT wins on any count that means OpenAI had been determined to be wrong.
If they settle out of court you could argue that's a win for the NYT or for neither, but this is a multiple choice question. I don't think that option is described as a win for either
Not to be a bore but, re your clarification: Winning a ruling is different from winning a lawsuit. The "initial ruling" will be on a motion to dismiss, which NYT has a ~100% chance of winning because it's basically a ruling on the question "is it at least barely plausible there's a copyright violation here?" To preserve your intent, I'd suggest changing it to "Resolves 'The NYT will win the lawsuit' if there is a final decision on the merits in the NYT's favor on any claim brought by the NYT."
@CateHall I apologize for the confusion. I was not referring to a motion to dismiss. Rather, I was referring to the outcome in the initial lawsuit, before any potential appeals. Let me clarify.
@c0m Exactly. That is why I said it was a biased description, not because the outcome given the description would be unclear.