Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?
Basic
10
188
2031
43%
[Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)
38%
[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)
34%
[Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)
34%
[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)
32%
[Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)
30%
[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

The rapid increase in capabilities of generative artifical intelligence models — including large language models like OpenAI's ChatGPT and text-to-image models like OpenAI's DALL-E — has posed legal questions about how intellectual property law applies to the training and use of these models. OpenAI, which doubled the size of its legal team last year, has been faced with a number of lawsuits over copyright infringement and other damages.

This market only pertains to civil lawsuits in United States federal, state, and territorial courts against OpenAI. If judgement is entered in favor of the plaintiffs, the answer will resolve YES. If judgement is entered in favor of the defendant, OpenAI, or if the lawsuit is involuntarily dismissed, the answer will resolve NO. If the lawsuit results in a settlement, or is voluntarily dismissed, the answer will resolve N/A.

Each answer will refer only to the legal proceedings of one case in a single court. Appeals, retrails, remands, or other further legal proceedings will be included as separate answers if necessary. Please let me know in the comments if there is another lawsuit you would like to include as an answer.

Links to more about each lawsuit:

Copyright Infringement

Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023) [New York Times]
Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023) [Reuters] [Semafor]

Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023) [Reuters]

Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023) [The Verge]

Other

Libel: Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct.) [Bloomberg Law]

Consumer Privacy: A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023) [Reuters]

Consumer Privacy: P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023) [Reuters]

If you would prefer to bet in more general markets on OpenAI, law, AI, and copyright, see also:

IMPORTANT NOTE: This market is experimental. Feedback is appreciated! I may change the question title, description, etc., to make changes/improvements within the first 48 hours after the market is created. I will not bet in the market.

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P.M. v. OpenAI LP was voluntarily dismissed in September. It was resolved NO in accordance with the previous description, but that was suboptimal—this probably just ended up as a settlement. The description has been updated to fix that. Any new voluntary dismissals will result in N/A resolution.

I'm going to remove the tag in the title and move the note in the description from the top, since I don't plan on making any other changes unless there's a problem.

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