Each answer contains a question: Do you think the person/character/concept is more Right-Wing (YES) or more Left-Wing (NO)? Bet YES, or NO, according to your opinion. 1 person = 1 vote (per answer), so having more shares does not make your vote count for more.
Heavily inspired from @Joshua's excellent market,
/Joshua/good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
You can submit any person/character/concept (shortened to p/c/c for the rest of the description), as well as a link / short phrase to give traders some context. If other people trade on your submission, you'll get mana off of their transaction fees (edit may 29: currently not true, but I believe it is being implemented currently).
I may N/A options for quality control, or edit them to provide a more neutral summary.
As a trader, you should buy any amount of YES in p/c/c you think are Right-Wing, buy any amount of NO in p/c/c you think are Left-Wing. I will leave the definition of those terms up to you. The amount of shares doesn't matter for the resolution, one share of yes is one vote and one hundred shares of yes is also one vote.
If I think you are voting purely as a troll, such as buying no in every option, I may block you or disregard your votes. Please vote in good faith! But hey, I can't read your mind. Ultimately this market is on the honor system.
Note that market prices will be a bit strange here, because this is simultaneously a market and a poll. If you sell your shares, you are also removing your vote.
The market will close every every week; See the close date to know on what day. I will then check the positions tab on options that have been submitted.
If there is a clear majority of YES holders, the option resolves YES.
If there is a clear majority of NO holders, the option resolves NO.
If it's very close and votes are still coming in, the option will remain un-resolved.
The market will then re-open for new submissions, with a new close date the next week. This continues as long as I think the market is worth running.
It does not matter what % the market is at, and bots holding a position are also counted.
Some guidlines:
I encourage you not to bet options to extremes (1% or 99%) before a quite clear majority has been established. Otherwise, it prevents others from betting toward that extreme, and can bias the results.
I may update these exact criteria to better match the spirit of the question if anyone has any good suggestions, so please leave a comment if you do.
See:
Related questions
I'm not surprised by this. Alternative medicine was associated with New Age, so it was very stereotypically left-wing before covid. Now that the right wing position is to reflexively reject medical science and embrace whatever wacky alternative there is, alt medicine has become right wing. The reason essential oils and homeopathy seem left wing to me is because I haven't heard anything about right-wingers using them specifically, so I still associate them with pre-covid alt med.
It's your left wing-right wing compass that needs adjustment, not the World around you.
You will be shocked when you find out Trump never told anyone to drink bleach or ingest any kind of disinfectant liquid.
It's the definition of "alternative medicine" that has changed. All of a sudden off-label prescriptions, a widespread practice in medicine for ages, became "right-wing, alt medicine craziness".
@tbird Thinking that neurotoxins can be used off-label as antivirals without any evidence is right-wing, alt medicine craziness.
@tbird You don't know anything about my politics or my relationship to the mRNA vaccines. Stop being brainwashed by the media into thinking that there are only two sides to every issue and that one side is right about everything.
If I recall correctly, when Scott Alexander did an informal review of the research into ivermectin, he eventually concluded that the reason some good studies showed it working was because, in developing nations with high prevelance of parasitic worm infections, taking it would kill the worms, so when people got given immunosuppressants to help them survive COVID the worms wouldn't get out of control and kill them
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/ivermectin-much-more-than-you-wanted
I don't disagree with any of that.
You're providing a good example of what I was getting at above -- you felt the need to respond as if I needed to be convinced about the inefectiveness of Ivermectin as a treatment or prophylactic for Covid, and about the safety and efficacy of vaccines in general.
All I said or implied is that you could make the same argument that deploying a completely new kind of vaccine, developed in record time, to billions of people is left-wing lunacy, and it would be equally ridiculous.
Seriously! "Right-wing" and "left-wing" are not synonyms for "things I dislike" and "things I like." Gulags were a soviet system of forced labor used by Stalin to imprison 18 and kill 1.6 million people, many for political reasons. Gulags are the left-wing complement to the right-wing of Nazi concentration camps.
Imprisoning people because of their political ideology is neither inherently left- or right- wing. It is authoritarian. Fascists (right-wing authoritarians) locking up communists is right-wing. Communists (left-wing authoritarians) locking up people for not being sufficiently communist is left-wing. Gulags imprisoned people for not being left-wing enough. That is inherently left-wing. How could it be any other way?
No. That is objectively wrong. The Soviet Union, PRC, Cuba—These are/were all left-wing authoritarian states.