Will I (@Bayesian) stay in Masters in September (Season 17)?

Mini

Ṁ998

Oct 2

28%

chance

ALL

I started the season with a -27800M loss.

at market creation I am at -Ṁ13,166 mana earned.

This is a personal motivation market. I'd like to beat the odds.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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😅 tad bit too high, I got like 30k on sb 1047 getting passed by newsom, and that's at 51%, and will resolve this month

bought Ṁ75 NO

@Bayesian alas, newsom has hinted at not signing the sb 1047 bill, so it will probably resolve NO, putting me in the red by 40k mana or something

gavin gave in...

bought Ṁ5 YES

@Bayesian you can do it!

@Bayesian rookie mistake, betting on gavin newsom to do the right thing in any circumstance ever

I’m now #13 with + 3844M earned

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