Will Project 2025 accomplish its plans in 2025?
Basic
11
Ṁ364
2026
15%
chance

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025

Project 2025 (officially the Presidential Transition Project) is a collection of policy proposals to reshape the executive branch of the U.S. federal government at an unprecedented scale in the event of a Republican victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

[...]

The plan proposes slashing U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) funding, dismantling the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security, gutting environmental and climate change regulations to favor fossil fuel production, and eliminating the cabinet Departments of Education and Commerce.

Will Project 2025 succeed, in that it accomplishes any of these through a Republican government?:

  • Reducing by more than half the US Department of Justice (DOJ) funding

  • Dismantling the FBI

  • Dismantling the Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

  • Eliminating the Department of Education

  • Eliminating the Department of Commerce

I ignored the climate change one because it's vague. Open to suggestions for operationalizing it.

If the Republican party loses the election, resolves NO.

If it wins the election, and does one or more of the things on the list, resolves YES.

Resolves NO at the end of 2025 if it's still open at that time.

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