Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight by the end of 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ534Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
Will two billionaires get into a publicized physical battle, by the end of 2024?
See also:
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public (this one)
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2025?
16% chance
Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
23% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
12% chance
Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
19% chance
Conditional on two decabillionaires having a publicized physical fight before 2030, will the richer one win?
44% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
31% chance
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will either Mark Cuban or Elon Musk challenge the other to some sort of competition before the end of 2024?
24% chance
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will the Elon Musk vs Mark Zuckerberg fight happen before the end of 2024?
4% chance