Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ2072030
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
Will two decabillionaires get into a publicized physical battle, before 2030?
Decabillionaires are people whose networth is above 10 billion dollars. Their networth will be considered at the time of the fight.
See also:
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca
/Bayesian/will-two-decabillionaires-have-a-pu (This one)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
23% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Conditional on two decabillionaires having a publicized physical fight before 2030, will the richer one win?
44% chance
Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg fight in 2024?
1% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2025?
16% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
12% chance
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Will any billionaire be murdered in 2024?
4% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
66% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
67% chance