Will I be alive by 2100?

Plus

Ṁ7224

2100

38%

chance

ALL

This question resolves YES if I'm still alive by 2100. If I'm dead, this question will resolve NO, somehow.

FYI I am currently 20 years old and in relatively good health :P

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ50 YES

Think there's a moderate chance of longevity escape velocity by then

bold move, putting out an assassination market on yourself

predicts YES

@spider It’s a life market, since people can gain more by saving my life than by killing me. 😛

Bet for the possible futures where you are likely to capture the gains, anon (but discount bc of opportunity cost)

Will the No shares pay out if we get destroyed by ASI before 2100?

@JakobBrunker Yes. No holders will be filthy rich if that happens, trust me.

Will I be alive by 2100?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related questions