Will humanity survive until 2100?
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71
Ṁ18k
2100
83%
chance

Full question:

Humanity will not go extinct before 2100. At least 1 thousand humans or human descendants (e.g., mind uploads) will be alive in 2100.

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

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That’s a trick question.

What if human neurotypes/connectomes exist and still participate in the world but aren't biological?

arb with