Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2025?
16
Ṁ548
2026
29%
chance

In 2025, will there exist a program that takes as input a string, ex the text from a book, and produces an ~entertaining full-length (1h+) movie?

It is fine if it is noticeably AI-generated, so long as it doesn't make the movie unwatchable. It is fine if it is not end-to-end, and uses language models to reformat the story for movie-prompting as a step in the generation.

For positive resolution, the program needs to respect the following desiderata:

  • Text-only story, not formatted for movie-script

  • 1h+

  • Substantial dialogue

  • Consistent character voices

  • Some music

  • Most people (as determined by a poll on twitter) find the movie somewhat entertaining; however, it needs to be entertaining by its quality rather than by how bad it is (ex The Room) or just because it's AI-generated

  • No human-in-the-loop

No need to have:

  • Perfect object-consistency

  • No weird image/audio artefacts, so long as they don't make the movie very annoying to watch

  • AI-generated music

  • Anyone having access to all the models used to generate the movie

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predicts YES

"It is fine if it is noticeably AI-generated, so long as it does make the movie unwatchable."

I think you mean doesn't*

predicts YES

View from 10:21 to see what can be done today (all the things he does manually can be trivially automated):

https://youtu.be/PlZkWcnnRt4

predicts YES

For easy comparison

predicts YES

@firstuserhere Ah, good idea. Thanks!

predicts YES

Not really remotely close, but progress is chugging along. This is the sort of thing I’d imagine, but with the video quality much higher, and with synchronized speech-sound-to-mouth-movement, and with all the scenes appended to each other.

predicts YES

I assume remaining faithful to the book would be important, and not adding new content which fundamentally changes how things play out?

@firstuserhere In movie adaptations of books, it is common to modify some scenes and characters to some extent, to change the order of some events, etc. So long as it doesn’t change the movie too much, ex significantly more than most movie adaptations, it’s fine.

Is an animated movie acceptable for the resolution criteria?

predicts NO