SHA256 collision by 2032-06-18?
Plus
21
Ṁ9322032
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, on or before the close date, humanity is aware of two distinct bytestrings with the same image under the SHA256 hash algorithm.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will RSA-2048 encryption be broken before Bitcoin reaches $100K USD?
2% chance
Will a SHA-256 collision be publicly known before 2030?
20% chance
256-bit ECC will be broken by 2032
40% chance
Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2070?
28% chance
RSA-2048 encryption will be broken by 2032
20% chance
Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2033?
12% chance
Will a first preimage attack on md5 be performed by the end of 2027?
33% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2030?
30% chance
Proof-of-work banned in California by 2032-11-02?
21% chance
Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026
53% chance