When will the EU cease to exist?
Plus
24
Ṁ15512160
3%
Up to 2028
10%
2029-2036
19%
2037-2049
21%
2050-2070
17%
2071-2104
8%
2105-2159
21%
2160 or after
Resolves according to the [Metaculus question](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19836/end-of-the-eu/).
If the answer buckets seem weird, that's because they have a Fibonacci number of years (starting with 5). This was easier and more integer than using exponentials.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]
Will a European or EU army be created before 2040?
61% chance
Will the European Union lose another member by 2035?
43% chance
Will any new countries join the EU before 2030?
61% chance
When will the EU abolish daylight saving time?
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
54% chance
No country leaves the European Union (EU) in the 2030s
70% chance
Which of these countries will leave the EU by 2050?
Will the European Union become a country by 2100?
11% chance
When will Kosovo join the EU?