Will Pierre Poilievre dethrone JUSTIN TRUDEAU in the 2025 CANADIAN Election
Plus
27
Ṁ71662025
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Outcome of the canadian election will decide this market. You got what it takes to endure the tension and suspense leading up to this historical battle?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
boughtṀ250NO
@BumKing Might want to start considering this question, re: https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/jagmeet-singh-pulls-ndp-out-of-supply-and-confidence-deal-with-trudeau-liberals-1.7024851
338Canada has the probability of the CPC winning the next election at 90% as of yesterday's update (I was confused at the sudden YES spike, so I decided to look it up - the reason is that 338Canada had a similar spike, from about 55% to 90%.) This is probably the result of a big swing in polls last week, probably as a result of Trudeau's cabinet shakeup.
Related questions
Related questions
Canada Politics: Will Justin Trudeau remain the leader of the Liberal party through 2024?
78% chance
Will Justin Trudeau lead the Liberal Party in the next federal election in Canada?
49% chance
Will Trudeau still be prime minister by the end of 2024
80% chance
Will Justin Trudeau announce his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party in 2024?
20% chance
Canada Politics: Will Pierre Poilievre remain the leader of the Conservative party through 2024?
87% chance
Will Justin Trudeau be the Liberal candidate in the next Canadian federal election?
43% chance
Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on October 10, 2026?
16% chance
[Metaculus] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
80% chance
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Prime Minister of Canada?
83% chance
If Pierre Poilievre wins a majority, what will he do in his first year?