Who will replace Mahmoud Abbas as President?
Basic
12
แน3102030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
22%
Marwan Barghouti
5%
No one
7%
Mohammed Dahlan
7%
Mohammad Shtayyeh
9%
Hussein Al-Sheikh
50%
Resolves to the next president of the state of Palestine.
If the next president is designated as temporary, the market will not resolve to them unless they're president for over 1 year.
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Barghouti is serving five life sentences for various murders he was directly involved in (not to mention dozens of other attacks he organized but got off on since there wasn't direct evidence linking him to those specific attacks). I don't see him getting out, especially after what happened when Israel released Sinwar in the Shalit deal.
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