Who will lead the Palestinian Authority after Mahmoud Abbas?
Basic
8
แน€391
Jan 1
7%
Hussein al-Sheikh (currently secretary-general of the Executive Committee)
7%
Mohammed Dahlan (currently in exile in UAE)
17%
Mohammad Shtayyeh (current Prime Minister)
25%
Marwan Barghouti (currently in prison)
1%
Ismail Haniyeh (Current Hamas leader, in exile in Qatar)
42%
Other

Edge cases:

  1. If the Palestinian Authority no longer controls the West Bank, the leader of any Palestinian government in charge of the area will take precedence.

  2. Should there be a power struggle or if the situation remains ambiguous, I'll hold off on making a decision until things become clearer.

  3. I've initially set the deadline for the end of this year, but I'm open to extending it if Abbas remains in leadership by then.

Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I'd argue the PA already doesn't control most of the WB, also I have I have a similar market already

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules