Will someone other than Biden, Harris, Buttigieg, or Newsom receive the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
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Resolves YES if the Democratic nominee is someone other than Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, or Gavin Newsom.
Long overdue disambiguation: this refers to who the Democrats put on the ballot in November. So, if there's a convention and Biden is nominated, it can still resolve YES if something happens between then and November, and the Democrats put forward someone else who isn't mentioned in the title.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Sokkenmakers Taking a second to re-analyze my wording and the spirit of the market, I feel that this is about who the Democratic Party is officially putting forward in November. In which case, while extremely unlikely anything could alter the likely NO resolution, I would prefer to keep it open until then.