Will someone other than Biden, Harris, Buttigieg, or Newsom receive the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
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Nov 5
1%
chance

Resolves YES if the Democratic nominee is someone other than Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, or Gavin Newsom.

Long overdue disambiguation: this refers to who the Democrats put on the ballot in November. So, if there's a convention and Biden is nominated, it can still resolve YES if something happens between then and November, and the Democrats put forward someone else who isn't mentioned in the title.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
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This can be resolved, no?

@Sokkenmakers Taking a second to re-analyze my wording and the spirit of the market, I feel that this is about who the Democratic Party is officially putting forward in November. In which case, while extremely unlikely anything could alter the likely NO resolution, I would prefer to keep it open until then.

predicts NO

I’ve added a long overdue clarification to the description.

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