2024 Turnout vs Election Winner
Plus
12
Ṁ8619Dec 1
0.3%
More than 2020, Harris wins
0.4%
More than 2020, Trump wins
0.3%
Less than 2020, Harris wins
99%
Less than 2020, Trump wins
The conventional wisdom is that low turnout favors Republicans and high turnout favors Democrats,
but will that change with Trump/Elon focusing on getting young low propensity voters and many (establishment) Republicans endorsing Harris indicating the 65+ demographic may have left Trump b/c of COVID/Jan 6th?
Turnout is measured by total # of voters (not as a %)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
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