Is Ohio's Senate Race a bellwether?
Basic
6
Ṁ999
Nov 28
99%
chance

Sherrod Brown's chances of reelection seem to closely track Harris odds of being president.

Resolves YES if both Harris and Brown are elected or both are not elected.

NO if Trump and Brown or Harris and Moreno are elected.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ15 YES

Not sure why this got traded down to the 60s. I think they're highly correlated with Brown winning being quite indicative of whether the Rust Belt/Blue Wall stays blue

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules