Will any US jurisdiction enact legislation that limits ownership of assault rifles by any group of US citizens by 2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ61Jan 1
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Examples of groups of citizens include but not limited to: felons, people under age 25, people under mental health care, etc.
Jurisdictions can be federal, state, local, etc.
An assault rifle is a firearm that can switch between semiautomatic and fully automatic fire. It uses an intermediate-power cartridge and a detachable box magazine.
Enacted means passed and signed into law. Any challenges in any courts are irrelevant to the question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?
4% chance
Assault weapons ban before 2025
2% chance
Will the US Congress pass any new gun legislation in 2024?
3% chance
Will the US have a national privacy bill by 2025?
16% chance
Will Trump call for further regulation or banning of AR-15 style rifles by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
41% chance
Will any US state ban consumption of animal meat (not lab-grown meat) by 2050?
31% chance
Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?
4% chance
Will a Significant US Immigration Law be Passed in 2025?
51% chance
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
41% chance