Will Nintendo's next console be backwards-compatible with most Nintendo Switch games?

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https://www.videogameschronicle.com/news/sources-nintendo-switch-2-targets-2024-with-next-gen-console/

Resolves to "yes" if Nintendo's next console supports at least 50% of all Nintendo Switch games on launch.

Clarifications:

If all digital-purchase games are transferable, but the physical cartridge slot is a different shape and does not accept Switch cartridges, resolves to YES so long as 50% of Switch games work on launch.

Sources: Nintendo targets 2024 with next-gen console | VGC

Key partners have development kits ahead of a planned launch…

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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predicts NO

Inactive creator, reopened with close date extended to end of year. Should be extended until Nintendo releases a new console or there is otherwise enough info to know how this resolves.

predicts NO

I think this question should be extended?

Nintendo uses its pricing power very liberally.
I'm not sure they'll give up the opportunity to sell a lot of digital titles yet again.

Clarification request: if all digital-purchase games are transferable, but the physical cartridge slot is a different shape and does not accept Switch cartridges, how does this resolve?

@Noit Resolves as YES so long as 50% of all Switch games work on launch.

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