Resolves when the race is projected by a major news network or Dave Wasserman. Re-resolves if this projection is incorrect.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
1,000
3.00I guess the calculus here is that Porter is about 50% likely to make the general (while Schiff almost certainly will), and she's about 40% likely to win that against Schiff if she qualifies, which seems about right to me. (On the other hand, if Garvey qualifies instead of Porter, Schiff will easily win.)
@robm just for context, the Porter and Schiff campaigns are both sending emails saying he's a big deal. BS for fundraising, I'm sure, but I'd like to see if he's a 0.2% deal, or a 2% deal.
@Joshua I’ve still never seen an example of Dave Wasserman having seen enough and being wrong! Something I can’t say about the networks :)