Will I write another Above the Fold: Manifold Politics newsletter in 2024?
➕
Plus
6
Ṁ490
Jan 1
68%
chance

Reasons for NO: election is over, there'll be less news, political fatigue, prioritizing other aspects of college life, I overall don't enjoy the writing process and the fact that it encourages me (and the reader) to be a political junkie

Reasons for YES: I may end up being a political junkie anyway, there may be more big news, I have twice returned to newsletters after thinking I'd scale back, financial + clout incentive, people say they like the newsletters

Right now, emotionally, it feels like a tossup.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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Ṁ1,000
and
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Update: I keep reading election tweets and reacting to them from the manifold twitter. Probably bullish (although I’m too busy to write a newsletter in the next few days)

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