Will the Republican 2024 Senate margin in Florida be higher than in Texas?
Plus
19
Ṁ2459Nov 8
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The margin is the Republican vote percentage minus the Democratic vote percentage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Here's one that almost the same thing for the presidency: /JosephNoonan/will-texas-be-closer-than-florida-i. Interesting how different the probabilities of these two are, presumably because candidate quality is an issue in the Senate one but not the presidential one.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Texas be closer than Florida in the 2024 election?
8% chance
Which state Senate seat will be won by a Republican candidate in the 2024 election?
Will any Senate seat flip from Democratic to Republican in the 2024 elections?
99% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will Texas vote to the left of Florida in the 2024 presidential election?
7% chance
Will any Senate seat flip from Republican to Democratic in the 2024 elections?
20% chance
Will Republicans win 52 or more Senate seats as a result of the 2024 election?
51% chance
What will be the margin of victory in Florida's 2024 Senate election?
Will Republicans continue to gain vote share among Hispanics in 2024 Presidential election
62% chance
What will be the most Republican state in 2024?