Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
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61
Ṁ5298
2034
28%
chance

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Could you specify some more specific resolution criteria? E.g., would a functioning ITER count, or do you want commercial viability?

@rotatingpaguro That’s a good question, I’m thinking about actual commercial viability.

predicts NO

@DanielMoulthrop I'm interpreting this to mean commercial breakeven, as opposed to engineering or scientific breakeven. Is this a fair characterization?

@JamesJimboMedvedik Yes. Commercial break even.

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