If the Republican nominee wins the presidency, how much will the S&P 500 move?
Standard
12
Ṁ397Nov 4
1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
Gain more than 5%
5%
4% to 5%
4%
3% to 4%
5%
2% to 3%
12%
1% to 2%
21%
0% to 1%
21%
-1% to 0%
10%
-2% to -1%
5%
-3% to -2%
4%
-4% to -3%
4%
-4% to -5%
4%
Drop more than 5%
I will compare the opening price on the 4th of November to the closing price at the next market close after the election is called.
If the number is an exact percentage I will split evenly between the two nearest buckets.
Will resolve NA if the Republican nominee is not elected.
Notes:
I may adjust the criteria in response to suggestions.
I'll update the question title when the nominee is known.
I will not trade in the market.
Get
1,000
and1.00
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