Will a judge to order Google broken up? (Regardless of any appeal outcome)
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36
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2026
25%
chance

https://gizmodo.com/doj-considering-breaking-up-google-after-monopoly-ruling-report-2000486766

Google was recently found by a federal judge to have a monopoly in the search market. The US Department of Justice is reportedly considering splitting the company up, among other remedies, as a result of the ruling.

This market resolves YES if the DOJ gets the trial judge to approve a remedy involving selling or spinning off any of Alphabet's businesses. Resolves as soon as the initial ruling is made, regardless of the outcome of any appeal.

If no action is taken by the DOJ by close date, this market resolves NO.

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bought Ṁ200 NO

Resolves as soon as the initial ruling is made, regardless of the outcome of any appeal.

I'd personally put this a little more prominently in the title. The title does specify it, but I still think people will read it and imagine that it's about google actually breaking up

Good thought, updated, WDYT?

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