Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
Plus
8
Ṁ1572049
20%
China
35%
Iran
20%
Saudi Arabia
25%
Russia
As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
What countries will be newly classified as full democracies by the EIU in the 2024 report?
Will China be a democracy in 2050?
23% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
41% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2050?
35% chance
Will China become more authoritarian in 2024?
70% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2100?
53% chance
Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?
24% chance
Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
25% chance
Will India be a democracy in 2050?
58% chance