Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?
Plus
12
Ṁ3762030
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.
List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
France
Greece
Germany
Iceland
Italy
Latvia
Luxembourg
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States
The abandonment has to be indefinite. If, say, a prime minister asserts emergency powers and then restores them within less than three months, that would not be sufficient to resolve this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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