Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?
Plus
91
Ṁ5214Dec 31
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on whether they self-identify as an Effective Altruist.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Primary is July 30. Amish Shah has a pretty good chance https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2JgAEyg6xpWKF4zqo/a-potential-ea-aligned-candidate-for-congress
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the UK Parliament by January 2025?
32% chance
Will an Effective Altruist run for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?
13% chance
Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will I have a positive view of effective altruism on December 31, 2024?
17% chance
Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?
33% chance
Will effective altruism be "winning" over effective accelerationism at the end of 2024?
56% chance
Will an Effective Altruist be the Republican Party nominee for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?
8% chance
Will an Effective Altruist be the Democratic Party nominee for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?
7% chance
Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
65% chance
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
75% chance