What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Biden Re-elected
This market only resolves 1 answer
Resolves YES To The Event That Occurs First
To Meet Re-Election:
Biden must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.
Trump must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.
To Meet Bilateral Ceasefire:
Bi-lateral = Must Be Between Israel & Hamas or Russia & Ukraine
Lasting = Minimum 10 Calendar Days
Ceasefire = A call to terminate all hostilities
Signed = Must Be An Agreement Signed By Leader(s) Of Minimum 1 Leader From Israel and 1 Leader From Hamas, May Include Negotiated Terms Between The Parties Through Third Party Nations And/Or Special Councils/Government Agencies.
MARKET EXTENDS UNTIL CONDITIONS MET
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Russia/Ukraine was wildly undervalued since it uses two national entities but Israel/Hamas has one national entity and one specific political party that may be destroyed or disempowered. If Trump loses and Hamas is disempowered, Russia/Ukraine will resolve Yes. Not an absurd scenario!
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