🔥 Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2024 California Wildfire Season?

Ṁ21k

Jan 1

96%

chance

ALL

@traders [image]So far.

07/24 Update [image]

@traders 07/25 Update [image]

Park Fire, which is now California's largest wildfire since 2021 [image](https://www.youtube.com/embed/a-jyXNW6Xzg)

@traders 626,600 Acres 07/27/2024 Update [image]

687,191 Acres 07/28/2024 [image]

726,667 Acres 07/29/2024 [image]

751,237 07/30/2024 [image]

778,151 Acres [image]

791,432 Acres [image]

798,231 Acres [image]

805,096 Acres [image]

809,977 Acres [image]

824,239 Acres [image]

838,576 Acres Burned

887,062 Acres

906,013 Acres Burned @traders

Man arrested on arson charges as wildfires burn out of control in Southern California and more evacuations are ordered

977,923 Acres Burned @traders

988,774 Acres Burned

990,548 Acres Burned

992,109 Acres Burned

993,776 Acres Burned

994,837 Acres Burned

995,064 Acres Burned

995,639 Acres Burned

995,713 Acres Burned

Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2024 California Wildfire Season?

RESOLUTION

Resolves YES if 1,000,001+ acres are burned in 2024.
Resolves NO if 1,000,000- acres are burned in 2024.

INFORMATION

Data may not be available for up to 1-2 weeks after the end of year.
Source Used: CALFIRE 2024
Prior 10 Years :(Average per year: 1,355,802)
- 2023: 324,917
- 2022: 331,360
- 2021: 2,569,386
- 2020: 4,304,379
- 2019: 277,285
- 2018: 1,975,086
- 2017: 1,599,640
- 2016: 669,534
- 2015: 880,899 (estimated)
- 2014: 625,540 (estimated)
Clarifications & Notes:
- 01/06/2024 ; None at this time.

DISCLAIMER

I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE
DO NOT TRADE OFF OF UNCONFIRMED MARKET NEWS OR NEWS YOU MAY NOT UNDERSTAND. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR MISUNDERSTANDING IF YOU DO NOT ASK FOR CLARIFICATION FIRST.
If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.

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25 Comments

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reposted

995,713

Acres Burned

reposted

995,639

Acres Burned

reposted

995,064

Acres Burned

reposted

994,837

Acres Burned

reposted

993,776

Acres Burned

reposted

992,109

Acres Burned

reposted

990,548

Acres Burned

reposted

988,774

Acres Burned

reposted

977,923

Acres Burned

@traders

reposted

Man arrested on arson charges as wildfires burn out of control in Southern California and more evacuations are ordered

reposted

906,013 Acres Burned

@traders

@DistinctlySkeptical that's so far?

@DavidFWatson Yes

sold Ṁ232 NO

New airport fire at 9,000 acres practically overnight, 0% contained. Also surrounded by big evacuation/warning zones. Bad day to live in LA. Big no bet isn't looking so smart after all.

reposted

887,062 Acres

887,062 acres burned.

Line fire at 23,000 acres, 5% contained.

Cal fire total acres burned has not been updated recently, probably at least 860k.

Line fire has grown to 17,000 acres in 3 days and evacuation orders/warnings span a much larger area.

@AndrewMaxwell And still plenty of time for some kind of chaos soon.

Fires are possible throughout the year in California, but the peak fire season in Northern California usually begins in June or July and runs through late October or November. However, the Southern California peak fire season starts earlier, beginning in late spring (May-June) and runs until October.1

It is a common misconception that the most dangerous time for fires in California is during July and August. While there may be fewer fires in September and October, the fires that do occur are far more destructive and burn through many more acres. This explosive effect is due to a combination of dry vegetation from hot summer weather, and intense dry winds that blow through the state during fall.