Will reading in the schools be optional by 2060?
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2060
30%
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We all carry small computers with us everywhere; they can currently handle text-to-speech and speech-to-text; reading is currently one of the biggest time-eaters in elementary schools; and there is very little that one might reasonabally need reading for, and there will be much less once AR becomes more common.

When will reading die?

This market will look at whether the majority of US schools are requireing a class in reading AND giving a level grade (e.g., A, B ,C, D, F) or equivalent (in other words a "media center" period with a pass/fail participation grade common in many gym/music/art/etc. classes would not be sufficient). It will look at classes required for a high school deploma, e.g., if any of elementary, middle, or highschool requires a reading grade for the average student to be on a high-school diploma track at the end of 2060.

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wtf are you talking about... reading is much faster for both processing and especially skimming information. Text-to-speech is obviously not a replacement, no matter how good. Only brain implants would be

I recommend "How to Read a Book" by Adler to understand why we need more reading in schools; and text-to-speech is kinda unrelated technology. I hope we will move in this direction. I will vote for No when I have mana :)

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