Will the Discord explicit content filter be at least 95% accurate in identifying 3D female nudes by the end of 2032?
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10
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2026
83%
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This market resolves to Yes if the Discord explicit content filter will be at least 95% accurate in identifying 3D female nudes by the end of 2032. It will resolve No if it does not. I tested it and, though I found it the most impressive piece of technology I have seen in my life (voice recognition and machine translation is trivial relative to what this filter does lightning fast), I found it only about 60 or so % accurate (I'll post the exact figures later) -this is, of course, an underestimate (as I was biased against being repetitive), but one that should show the filter is not yet above 90% accuracy, and possibly not above 80% -you can test this filter yourself and draw your own conclusions. I did not test much for false positives, but I found the filter to be accurate in avoiding them. May 12, 11:02pm: 36 successful attempts to get past the filter out of 77 May 13, 1:10am: *79, not 77 May 14, 4:34pm: edit: 53/107 Jun 10, 1:30pm: 77/147 Jun 10, 1:30pm: meant to post 70/147

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Should be higher, but I don't want to wait 11 years for the return.
@IsaacKing What's going to make the current 50-55% accuracy go up to above 95%?
predicts YES
@EnopoletusHarding I expect the content filter to get a lot better in the next 11 years. AI image recognition is progressing very quickly.
@IsaacKing Well if it advances quickly this might resolve early.