Ramez Naam publishes a novel before 2031
Basic
3
Ṁ162031
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It needs to be published and released by the due date.
He is the author of the Nexus series.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the author of my favourite new book in 2024?
In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book
Will a publisher release a novel advertised as being AI-generated in the style of very popular dead author, b4 EOY 2024?
40% chance
Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
54% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel (book) in 2024?
97% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
75% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
35% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel focusing on AI in 2024?
3% chance
Sam Altman publishes a book by mid 2028
68% chance